Sep 27, 2012 6:00pm PDT
a sense, a rising sense that the appointment of paul ryan as the vp pick has turned out to be a big mistake, that he should have chosen -- i had nate silver on last night who had wonderful facts and figures but said he had gone with marco rubio or something and gone for the latino vote, that could have been a demographic he could have pulled in he didn't otherwise have. with paul ryan, it just doesn't seem to be working. he brought him in to win the battle over the economy argument and ever since that happened, that appointment happened, it's gone the other way on the economy. he's been losing that argument. what do you think of that? was paul ryan with hindsight the wrong choice? >> hindsight is 20/20. we can look back on it and see all the reasons why it didn't work. you can see what they were trying to do, they were trying to tap into the tea party enthusiasm on the far right and if you could energize that base and get them excited, maybe that could be -- propel his candidacy forward. the other thing was they actually thought they could have some sort of big idea conversation, bu
Sep 26, 2012 9:00pm PDT
instead of trying to pick paul ryan and play no, now we will have a discussion about the issues. >> what about mark coe rub bow, he would have brought something new. you get the sense of paul ryan he is another version of romney and that's not giving him a new era of voters coming in. >> the base didn't need paul ryan because they had balm and that was enough for the republican base to turn out to oust the president from office. >> fascinating stuff. i love the fact in your book there are two categories of hero, weather forecasters and gamble ers. >> what they have in common is they think of things in terms of probability. 20% chance of rain and might be frustrating because they are not giving you an exact answer and if you play poker, i made my living playing poker for a couple of years and you know that your opponent can have a miracle hand that will beat yours. >> and your prediction is storm clouds possible hurricane wiping him out. >> the metaphor drawing to an inside straight is not far off. a one in ten chance and if his polls look like this after the first debate that's where we
Sep 27, 2012 12:00am PDT
to the message he had all along instead of trying to pick paul ryan and we are going to have a discussion about the issues. >> marco rubio, you get a sense with paul ryan, that is not giving him a new air of voters coming in. they had barack obama. >> the book is fascinating. there are two categories. when weather forecasters and gamblers. they aren't giving you an exact answer. you know that sometimes your opponent will catch that card and 52 will make them a miracle and beat yours. and your prediction is storm clouds. the met for is not far off. it is about a one in ten chance and if this polls look like this we are looking at a one in ten chance of a real october surprise. he has a window now but the thing is you lose time and if you want to switch to a sports analogy. if obama leads by a touchdown doesn't mean very much. but we are in the 4th quarter and romney may be giving obama something again. nothing impossible about it but you need to catch a couple of breaks. the one good thing, many predictions fail. good to see you. coming up. celebrity power success and the importance of helping o
Oct 1, 2012 6:00pm PDT
sides do. this is what paul ryan said on fox yesterday. listen to this. >> president obama's a very -- he's a very gifted speaker. the man's been on the national stage for many years. he's an experienced debater. he's done these kinds of debates before. this is mitt's first time on this kind of a stage. >> what i love about this particular stage of proceedings, for the first debate, is the way you're both prepared to tell such ghastly lies about each other. paul ryan finally saying all the things about what a great speaker president obama is, how hopeless mitt romney is. the pair of you are playing the same game, lower expectations so far, they just have to breathe to be victorious. >> i think that there's no question that the expectation game is real. everyone plays it. having been involved in a number of presidential debates in the past, there's a certain give and take running up to it. i wouldn't be surprised tomorrow or wednesday, somebody makes a crazy charge or someone in a campaign will do something to try to refocus the run-up to the debate. but i think the fact is the ameri
Sep 29, 2012 6:00pm PDT
to speed on some of the day's headlines. republican vice presidential candidate paul ryan is campaigning in ohio talking, talking gun rights at a national men's sports conference. also vice president joe biden wrapped up a two-day swing through florida, including a stop in ft. myers.
Sep 28, 2012 6:00pm PDT
in a suit, and he is being photographed all the time. sow should have game on. >> paul ryan, he looks like a man who knows his own fashion brand a little better than obama i think. >> i think he looks like an american businessman on a weekend. and i think he's trying to portray that, i think he wants people to think he is like the guy next door in his dress, so i think he's accomplishing that. >> what about the one of him and mitt romney? alarming orange jacket there from mr. romney? >> i think they are trying to sort of like -- sort of like the normal guys next door. >> what about the first ladies? very different styles. quite fashionable to me. >> michelle is definitely fashionable. as a matter of fact, i would like her to wear my clothes. and i think mrs. romney looks very conservative, and i think maybe they want to portray her as being very conservative. >> and, finally, you have a cause very dear to your heart. about autism. a powerful clip. >> in a small town of elmira, new york, a boy was born into an all-american family. the odds of him achieving his dream in the fashion industry?